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He noticed a lot of the recent price action was driven by institutional investors, based on transactions that occur on the chain, and is unlike the retail investor frenzy of On-chain demand and other metrics suggest that the rally was driven more by institutional hedge funds, family offices, and money managers.
Hileman expects to see continued buy-in from retail and Wall Street investors going forward, rather than corporates. That's because it is harder for bigger players to participate than professional investors who already have accounts and easy access to major exchanges, he explained.
As for the US dollar, the researcher expects the world's most popular reserve currency to be digitized sometime in the next five years. The status quo is working well for the dollar because it is dominant through the SWIFT mechanism and the corresponding banking system, he said. The US government can also raise debt at attractive interest rates, supporting the dollar's status. But a competitive challenge lies in the crypto space and in the rise of stablecoins. Shalini Nagarajan.
Although the bitcoin rally was largely driven by institutional investors, he expects to see continued buy-in more from retail and Wall Street investors going forward. The researcher expects the US to digitize the dollar, but not too soon as he said "the Fed is happy with the way the world is. Should that come to be the case, it would require an enormous accelerated gain in value from Bitcoin from both a value point-of-view and a trading perspective.
The asset was developed and launched just over a decade ago, and has seen an enormous gain in market cap, trading price, and popularity since inception and it continues to show signs of bullish growth. The gold market in the past decade has remained mostly stable, with the exception of a sharp decline in From there, the precious metal regained its value to see a positive incline in value over the past two years.
Bitcoin has seen a lot more volatility in the past few years than gold, given how the market has been in a constant state of adoption and correction.
Bitcoin saw its first spike at the end of , marking its first cycle of increases. Since then, it continued at a reasonably steady rate until midway through last year, where it lost and gained value with characteristic volatility. Like gold traders, Bitcoin and cryptocurrency traders tend to buy and sell according to numerous factors, including the price of fiat assets and the economic movements of the US Dollar.
As the US Dollar seems to drop, both Bitcoin and gold rise in value. Whether this will happen and — if it should — whether Bitcoin market cap and value can hold above that of gold will be seen in time.
If Bitcoin does exceed gold in value and market cap, it will likely be at the mass adoption of the use of cryptocurrencies for both trading and daily transactions across the globe.